Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 1.348357 1.671438 2.098426 2.726424 3.669836 5.118791 7.720727
2025-05-25 0.971107 1.330082 1.888182 2.904418 4.962747 9.845684 28.292140
2025-06-01 0.760334 1.101759 1.686222 2.910698 6.023765 17.252290 162.759951
2025-06-08 0.619705 0.929284 1.492199 2.787783 6.692374 27.541051 13429.817157
2025-06-15 0.549246 0.852496 1.439275 2.935407 8.472908 63.742706 NaN
2025-06-22 0.486830 0.773868 1.354258 2.951312 9.955319 158.119159 NaN
2025-06-29 0.431998 0.697884 1.252001 2.861898 10.913974 431.045269 NaN
2025-07-06 0.390358 0.639816 1.174161 2.807532 12.131715 2804.219872 NaN
2025-07-13 0.372939 0.626283 1.194891 3.096595 17.186088 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.352283 0.602399 1.184010 3.273227 22.902063 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.327821 0.566764 1.134626 3.269125 27.009594 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.302728 0.526586 1.065119 3.142491 28.775251 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.286787 0.505109 1.043657 3.237422 37.638531 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 0.275033 0.491487 1.041434 3.435510 56.274416 NaN NaN
2025-08-24 0.259693 0.467839 1.005541 3.438183 71.085088 NaN NaN
2025-08-31 0.242522 0.438202 0.946801 3.281118 74.604775 NaN NaN
2025-09-07 0.234367 0.428584 0.946161 3.468590 124.647365 NaN NaN
2025-09-14 0.223672 0.411831 0.920511 3.488841 174.587830 NaN NaN
2025-09-21 0.211622 0.390755 0.877949 3.374998 198.043458 NaN NaN
2025-09-28 0.201421 0.373278 0.844305 3.305976 243.565360 NaN NaN
2025-10-05 0.198838 0.373921 0.868993 3.674647 1071.532397 NaN NaN
2025-10-12 0.193978 0.368460 0.872634 3.901935 11407.170963 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 0.186517 0.355840 0.849781 3.896639 725183.539164 NaN NaN